Matchday 27 - EPL Predictions
Photo by Dustin Bryson / Unsplash
EPL Predictions

Matchday 27 - EPL Predictions

The Son
The Son

Hi everyone!

Welcome to the twenty-fourth edition of my EPL Predictions newsletter, where each week, I'll post detailed forecasts for each game.

As a general rule of thumb, each issue will assess the previous week's forecasts plus provide naive and biased predictions for upcoming games.

Let's get to it.


End-of-season predictions


Naive predictions

The naive predictions are computed using historical data only, and it's the forecast system that I use to simulate the end-of-season probabilities for the Premier League.

The following table showcases each game's forecasts under this model.


Biased Predictions

In this section, I present my biased forecasts based on both my hunch and historical data. For each match, I'll present a detailed viz with probabilities for different events within the match and a small write-up.

The following table shows the summary of my biased forecasts.




How did we do in the last gameweek?



Discussion