Matchday 14 - EPL Predictions
Photo by Kai Gradert / Unsplash
EPL Predictions

Matchday 14 - EPL Predictions

The Son
The Son

Hi everyone!

Welcome to the fourteenth edition of my EPL Predictions newsletter, where each week, I'll post detailed forecasts for each game.

As a general rule of thumb, each issue will contain an assessment of the previous week's forecasts, plus naive and biased predictions for upcoming games.

(you can learn more about the general assumptions of the model here)

Let's get to it.

End-of-season predictions

End-of-season predictions.

Naive Predictions

The naive predictions are computed using historical data only, and it's the forecast system that I use to simulate the end-of-season probabilities for the Premier League.

The following table showcases each game's forecasts under this model.

EPL matchday 14 predictions.

Biased Predictions

In this section, I present my biased forecasts, which, are based on both my hunch and historical data. For each match, I'll present a detailed viz with probabilities for different events within the match and a small write-up.

The following table shows the summary of my biased forecasts.

Biased matchday 14 predictions.

Detailed fixture forecasts

Leeds United vs. AFC Bournemouth forecast.
Manchester City vs. Fulham forecast
Nottingham Forest vs. Brentford forecast.
Wolverhampton vs. Brighton & Hove Albion forecast.
Everton vs. Leicester City forecast.
Chelsea vs. Arsenal forecast.
Aston Villa vs. Manchester United forecast.
Southampton vs. Newcastle United forecast.
West Ham United vs. Crystal Palace forecast.
Tottenham Hotspur vs. Liverpool forecast.

How did we do in the last gameweek?

Hope you enjoyed today's issue!

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Catch you later!